- May 22, 2025
- Investment News
The Resurgence of the Gold Market
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Such a notable rebound is not a random occurrence; instead, it is the result of an intricate fusion of factors, including unprecedented demand from central banks, intricate geopolitical tensions, concerning tariff policies, and vast movements of capital that are all driving this push.
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According to the latest report from the World Gold Council, global demand for gold is slated to reach an astounding 4974 tons in 2024, marking the third consecutive year that central banks have purchased over 1000 tons of goldNotably, China, Poland, and Turkey have emerged as the largest buyersAmid escalating geopolitical risks and growing economic uncertainties, nations are increasingly seeking to diversify their foreign exchange reserves away from an over-reliance on the dollar, and one reliable path has involved bolstering their gold holdingsDay insightfully notes that this trend is undoubtedly a key driving force behind the strength of gold pricesHe elaborates, "Over the past two years, the primary driving force behind gold has been central banks around the worldWith the dollar being overly politicized and turned into an economic weapon, central banks are gradually reducing their dollar holdings in foreign exchange reserves, and this trend is accelerating with no signs of abating."
Globally, investors are increasingly viewing gold as a critical hedge against economic instabilityPotential tariffs on precious metals are akin to a boulder tossed into a serene lake, creating ripples throughout the market and provoking significant volatility that has pushed London gold lease rates to a staggering 12%, a clear indication of the extreme tightness in gold supplies in the short termDay explains, "Gold serves as an effective hedge against currency chaos, whether manifested through inflation, deflation, or economic recessionsCurrently, we are facing the confluence of all three factors."
Day reveals, "There were zero net inflow days for GDX and GDXJ in January, which is shockingLast year, gold stocks surged by 47%, yet gold mutual funds and ETFs are still facing outflows." This disconnect in market behavior presents a unique opportunity for investors who can anticipate future trendsHistorically, during periods of soaring gold prices, mining shares tend to outperform; yet this time around, they lag behind the pace of rising gold pricesDay elaborates, "Profit margins for gold miners are on the rise as the pace of gold price escalation far exceeds that of cost increasesEvery analyst focuses on costs, but few discuss how miners are currently making more profit than ever before."
He highlights, "Agnico is one of the best-managed large mining companies in the world; if you don't already own its stock, you’d be wise to take the plunge."